House Race Ratings

For the last five days before Election 2008 I have decided to mimic Stu Rothenberg and Charlie Cook the best way I can: by producing my own ratings for each strongly contested House race in the nation using the most recent public poll data as well as my long standing knowledge of these districts which in most cases goes back to the early 1990s. Also factored in are historical trends. I will produce these lists daily until the election.

Here are the ratings for Thursday October 30th

DEM HELD SEATS

LIKELY GOP

FL 16 (Mahoney)

LEANS GOP

PA 11 (Kanjorski)
TX 22 (Lampson)

TOSS UP

AL 5 (Cramer/Open)
PA 12 (Murtha)
MS 1 (Childers)
LA 6 (Cazayoux)
GA 8 (Marshall)

LEANS DEM

IL 14 (Foster)
WI 8 (Kagen)
NH 1 (Shea- Porter)
KS 2 (Boyda)
CA 11 (McNerney)
PA 4 (Altimire)
KY 3 (Yarmouth)

REPUBLICAN HELD SEATS



LIKELY DEMOCRATIC

VA 11 (Davis/Open)

LEANS DEMOCRATIC

FL 24 (Feeney)
NC 8 (Hayes)
AK-AL (Young)
NY 13 (Fossella)
NY 25 (Walsh)
NY 26 (Reynolds)
NY 29 (Kuhl)
NM 1 (Wilson/Open)
IL 10 (Kirk)
MN 3 (Ramstad/Open)
MI-9 (Knollenberg)

TOSS UP

MN 6 (Bachman)
FL 8 (Keller)
NV 3 (Porter)
OH 2 (Schmidt)
OH 15 (Pryce/Open)
OH 16 (Regula/Open)
AZ 1 (Renzi/Open)
IL 11 (Weller/Open)
CT 4 (Shays)
MD 1 (Gilchrist/Open)
WY-AL (Cubin/Open)
WA 8 (Reichart)
CO 4 (Musgrave)

LEANS GOP

AL-2 (Everett/Open)
CA-4 (Doolittle/Open)
OH-1 (Chabot)
FL 21 (L. Diaz Balart)
FL 25 (M. Diaz Balart)
NJ 5 (Garrett)
ID-1 (Sali)
PA-3 (English)
AZ 3 (Shadegg)
LA-4 (McCrery/Open)
IL-18 (LaHood/Open)

LIKELY GOP (Florida only)

FL-13 (Buchanan)

For daily updates please visit kartiksworld.blogspot.com